Appraisal Service Anywhere In The United States
Tempering the American Dream
by Charlie Elliott, MAI, SRA, ASA
The mortgage meltdown was allegedly caused by mortgage
lenders lending money to people who were not qualified to purchase the homes.
Aside from whatever part fraud had to do with this calamity, most of us would
probably agree with this statement. I certainly believe it.
Having made that statement, I am of the opinion that this accusation can be
carried a step further, more specifically, to hold accountable those who
purchased larger homes than they could afford. This theory implies that many if
not most of the foreclosures would not have occurred if people, who are losing
their homes, had purchased smaller, more-affordable homes, within their means.
With this in mind, I examined national statistical data, pertaining to historic
average home sizes in the United States. Based upon the above hypothesis, I set
out to perform a research project to determine if we, as a people, have been
living higher on the housing hog in recent years.
My findings included the following.
- In 1900, the average-sized home was 800 square feet.
- In 1950, the average-sized home was 1,000 square feet.
- In 1980, the average-sized home was 1,700 square feet.
- In 2008, the average-size home was 2,473 square feet.
- In 1900, the average household size was 4.6 people.
- In 2010, the average household size was 2.59 people.
- In 1900, the average home cost $4,000.
- In 2010, the average home cost $178,000.
- In 1900, 47 percent of all homes were owner-occupied.
- In 2010, 67 percent of all homes were owner-occupied.
- In 1900, average individual income was $600 per year.
- In 2009, average individual income was $40,000 per year.
- In 1900, the average worker made $2 per day. (25 cents per hour/48-hour workweek)
- In 2010, the average worker made $160 per day. ($20 per hour/40-hour workweek )
The above data was assembled using a variety of resources,
including the U.S, Census Bureau, the National Association of Realtors, the National
Association of Home Builders and other sources that I consider to be reliable. Due to
the lack of adequate and accurate statistical data from the early 1900s, I made estimates
in some cases. I also rounded off numbers for the sake of simplicity.
The results of the survey are quite telling. While the data
was not intended to be technical in nature, it offers undeniably antidotal evidence of
the excesses we have enjoyed at the expense of our economy. I offer the following as
evidence to support my conclusion.
- In 1900, the average person consumed 174 square feet of living space.
- Today, the average person consumes 935 square feet of living space.
- In 1900, the average cost of a house per occupant was $900.
- In 2010, the average cost of a house per occupant was $69,000.
- In 1900, the average worker must work 16,000 hours or about eight years,
before payroll taxes, to purchase an average home.
- In 2010, the average worker must work 8,900 hours or about
four-and-a-half years, before payroll taxes, to purchase an average home.
Today, we enjoy homes with more sophisticated plumbing, heating,
air conditioning, electrical, appliances, insulation, kitchens, bathrooms, high-quality décor
and much more than was in homes of 1900. We invest fewer of our working hours to purchase a
home than our forefathers did four generations ago, and we enjoy the spaciousness of castles,
relative to the bygone days of the early 1900s. Most of us would be able to enjoy more modest
homes, which would fall well within our budgets and still be light years ahead of what our
predecessors had to accept. No, the American dream is not dead; it is still very much alive.
It is up to those of us doing the dreaming to fashion our dreams within the realms of reality
and within our budgets.
We can expect homes
of the future to be smaller, especially those built for first-time homebuyers. We can expect
more multi-family housing to be sold. More of us will be sharing housing with others in an
effort to better capitalize on the efficiencies of having housemates and extended family living
under our roofs. Low down-payment loans will still be available to those responsible people,
with good credit and willing to purchase homes in price ranges that they can afford. Approaching
housing in a more common-sense manner will permit all of us to save more of our earnings to
better prepare for rainy days and retirement.
Based upon the above
data, little imagination is required for all of us to envision a reduction in our housing costs
at levels approaching 10 to 20 percent, while still allowing for state-of-the-art housing and
high levels of home ownership. We partied hard, buying those homes that were beyond our means.
We then woke up with financial hangovers, and we have taken our medicine. That does not mean
that we cannot get it right this time. The U.S. economic engine offers us, as homeowners,
efficiencies never dreamed of by our ancestors. We can all live in homes that offer us many
times the utility of those enjoyed by our grandparents, while staying within our budgets and
living within our means.
Yes, many of us in
the United States and, for that matter, all around the world have grown quite accustomed to
living too high on the housing hog. The time has come for us to exercise better judgment in
investing our shelter dollars. We can own beautiful homes, of which we can be very proud,
while concentrating upon spatial efficiency.
Charlie W. Elliott, Jr.,
MAI, SRA, ASA, is president of Elliott & Company Appraisers, a national real
estate appraisal company. He can be reached at (800) 854-5889,
charlie@elliottco.com or through the company’s Web site at
www.appraisalsanywhere.com. |