MAY   2012
DID HIGH GASOLINE PRICES CAUSE THE HOUSING MELTDOWN?

Economists at the University of California’s Berkeley campus and Oregon State University are pointing fingers at high gasoline prices in 2008 and suggesting that they led to the housing meltdown that stuck that fall.

“The key word is ‘triggered,’” said economist JunJie Wu of Oregon State. “This theory recognizes the role of subprime mortgages and lax lending practices as inflating the housing bubble, but high gasoline prices provided the trigger that burst the bubble.”

The study, conducted by Wu and Berkeley economists Steven Sexton and David Zilberman, pointed out that relatively low fuel prices and easy credit and creative financing drove up the interest in homes far away from the owners’ places of work. When oil and gas prices skyrocketed, values of homes in the suburbs plummeted, leading to walkaways and other foreclosure activity.

“The real-estate mantra is ‘location, location, location,’” Wu said. “If you find yourself in a location that is far from your work and transportation costs rise suddenly, that location can lower the value of your house.”

DRUG STORE BUILDINGS TEND TO BE SAFE INVESTMENTS
Buildings designed to house drug stores tend to be relatively safe investments, because pharmacies are in somewhat of a recession-proof industry. Regardless of the economy, people in all walks of life need prescription medication, as the population, especially the aging population, continues to grow. As people age, their need for medicine usually increases. More surgery is done in the United States than ever before, and the demand for medicine rises along with this trend.

Most drug stores keep their pharmacy counters in the back, requiring prescription customers to pass non-pharmaceutical products, often impulse items, during their visit to the store. As a result, about 30% to 35% of the sales go to non-pharmaceutical items.

ELLIOTT® & Company Appraisers is qualified to provide appraisals, evaluations, research, consulting and representation for all pharmacy locations. We, as professionals, are equipped to handle the many unique opportunities and challenges presented by a wide range of sizes and types of drug store properties. Our team of Certified General Appraisers, including those with the prestigious MAI designation, contains members with a thorough understanding of the variety of contemporary issues unique to the drug store industry.
CENSUS REPORTS LOW HOMEOWNERSIP AND VACANCY RATES
The U.S. Census Bureau reported that the homeownership rate in this country dropped in the first quarter to 65.5%, the lowest it has been since the first quarter of 1997. Meanwhile, the national homeowner vacancy rate dropped to 2.2%. It was at 2.6% during the first quarter of last year. The rental vacancy rate fell to 8.8% after having been at 9.7% in the first quarter of 2011.

Also declining, according to the report was the median asking sale price for a vacant home, which was $133,800 in the first quarter, the lowest it has been since the second quarter of 2005. The median asking rent in the first quarter, however, went up. It was $721 in the first quarter, $9 higher than it had been in the previous quarter.
TEXAS TOPS LIST OF FASTEST GROWING CITIES 

Forbes has recently published the result of a study designed to determine the fastest-growing cities in the United States. To do so, the business-media company’s staffers on the project used Moody’s Analytics data of the largest 100 metropolitan areas. They looked at positively at projected economic growth and negatively at high unemployment rates, as well as low median income. With that formula, the five fastest-growing metropolitan areas are:

  1.  Austin,
  2.  Dallas-Fort Worth,
  3.  San Jose,
  4.  Houston and
  5.  Salt Lake City.
NOTES OF VALUE
  • A 20% spike in multifamily housing permits in March caused housing permits that month to increase to their highest level since September 2008, according to a report issued April 17 by the Census Bureau and HUD.

  • Jennifer Aniston recently sold two apartments on Twelfth Street at Westside Village in Manhattan for $6.5 million. Last year she paid $7.01 million for this property and had plans on converting it into one large unit. She is currently renting a house in Los Angeles while the Beverly Hills home she bought for $21 million is being completed.
  • The April HousingPulse Tracking Survey, conducted by Campbell Surveys concluded that prices for non-distressed homes declined 5.7% in March from what it had been in March 2011.
  • The home, in Sudbury, Mass., which belonged to Babe Ruth from 1922 until 1926, is currently on the market for $1.65 million. Even though it’s in the suburbs of Boston, where Ruth began his big league career, the slugging outfielder was playing with the New York Yankees at the time. In addition to the 5,000 square-foot, five bedroom house, the property includes a one-bedroom apartment, a barn, office space and garage bays.
ASK MARTITIA

Question:
A client asks an appraiser to perform an appraisal of real property, but not prepare a written report. Instead the client wants the appraiser to report the results of the appraisal orally. Does USPAP allow this?

Martitia: Yes. The Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice allows appraisers to deliver oral reports, but appraisal reports, as well as appraisal-review and appraisal-consulting reports “must be clearly and accurately set forth in a manner that is not misleading and contain sufficient information to enable intended users to understand the report properly.”


Martitia Mortimer, Elliott's executive vice president, answers appraisal questions on a regular basis in Elliott Evaluation News.
QUOTES OF WIT & WISDOM
“You may not be able to read a doctor’s handwriting and prescription, but you’ll notice his bills are neatly typewritten.” – Earl Wilson

“A weed is a plant that has mastered every survival skill except for learning how to grow in rows.” – Doug Larson

“The death of democracy is not likely to be an assassination from ambush. It will be a slow extinction from apathy, indifference and undernourishment.” – Robert Maynard Hutchins

“If it weren’t for Philo T. Farnsworth, inventor of television, we’d still be eating frozen radio dinners.”
                                                                                                                   – Johnny Carson

“A man convinced against his will is not convinced.” – Laurence Peter
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